Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 11.993639 13.692246 15.551641 17.739126 20.243645 23.023350 26.345049
2026-02-01 9.463342 11.636429 14.200196 17.451899 21.472576 26.289428 32.511188
2026-02-08 7.951001 10.306383 13.237254 17.159680 22.284493 28.770739 37.632662
2026-02-15 6.867637 9.295671 12.452005 16.867221 22.904395 30.900610 42.346822
2026-02-22 6.384260 8.975684 12.476300 17.567586 24.814280 34.805898 49.711741
2026-03-01 5.859626 8.521264 12.241904 17.844756 26.111202 37.926723 56.220285
2026-03-08 5.322147 7.980450 11.813621 17.771428 26.853815 40.269039 61.756448
2026-03-15 4.846923 7.476160 11.377637 17.621590 27.432893 42.372986 67.069659
2026-03-22 4.617791 7.316544 11.431780 18.203886 29.156957 46.328006 75.582395
2026-03-29 4.391150 7.135269 11.428308 18.680908 30.735216 50.159251 84.211145
2026-04-05 4.223217 7.029356 11.527977 19.320741 32.614685 54.607181 94.232421
2026-04-12 3.862858 6.573674 11.018539 18.898568 32.669309 56.012448 99.153757
2026-04-19 3.554392 6.183521 10.592192 18.590455 32.907858 57.775293 104.916657
2026-04-26 3.279356 5.827508 10.193769 18.293530 33.133466 59.522466 110.795861
2026-05-03 3.031132 5.497118 9.811059 17.986712 33.303870 61.165296 116.599526
2026-05-10 2.807445 5.191976 9.447365 17.679782 33.438740 62.736889 122.381551
2026-05-17 2.753533 5.193859 9.637410 18.414823 35.587336 68.228722 136.244930
2026-05-24 2.641748 5.077292 9.597756 18.705727 36.898481 72.216744 147.463905
2026-05-31 2.491496 4.874743 9.379451 18.628765 37.473368 74.802375 156.041962
2026-06-07 2.343798 4.665506 9.131832 18.471502 37.868668 77.050780 164.100693
2026-06-14 2.295401 4.649737 9.260436 19.082660 39.883616 82.745475 179.993043
2026-06-21 2.236721 4.608248 9.333697 19.583345 41.704373 88.176235 195.793451
2026-06-28 2.198250 4.605166 9.483641 20.254942 43.940560 94.659366 214.513378